Many of you are wondering what I expect to accomplish in Portugal for
the two week period I will be in the country. Some have scoffed on
Twitter that I am on a fool's errand or some egotistical fantasy trip,
that I think I am going to pop over to Praia da Luz and solve the McCann
case in a snap. Hardly. I am not that unrealistic nor am I so blind to
reality and my abilities that I think I am going to do any such thing.
What I am trying to do is learn a bit more. Since my book, Profile of
the Disappearance of Madeleine McCann did earn some dividends (although
not much since it was
pulled from Amazon under threat of Carter-Ruck
and the McCanns) and I stated I would put fifty percent of the earnings
toward searching for Madeleine, I am doing that with the money.
I am approaching this case as I do others I have profiled. I plan to
survey the area and then reanalyze the crime based on what I learn.
Then, I plan to search in locations I believe Maddie may be.
I can accomplish the first part of the plan within ten days. The second
part is unlikely to be fully accomplished and may require me to return
to Portugal if I think another search has merit. I also may run into the
"unknown factor" while I am in Praia da Luz. I may come across new
information that will add to what is publicly known of the case or
something that could change my profile. Although my top theory is that
the evidence points to the McCanns involvement, the next most likely
theory is that a local pedophile grabbed Madeleine and walked off with
her to his lair. I do not at all believe Madeleine's disappearance had
anything to do with a sex ring or someone who wanted a child. I do not
believe Madeleine was taken away alive in a car. I believe Madeleine is
not alive, whether the McCanns are involved or not.
Could I change this view? Sure. If I get to Praia da Luz, start
analyzing the layout of the area and, suddenly, say, "Well, hell, if I
had known that...." I don't expect this will happen but you never know.
Being at the crime location is extraordinarily valuable when analyzing
any case and this can change everything. If I do a one-eighty, I will
not shirk my duty to disclose this and I will revise my profile as
What I won't be doing in Praia da Luz is going around questioning
people. I am not a private detective and I don't have the right to do so
in Portugal anyway. I won't refuse to talk to people but I am not
knocking on doors and demanding people answer my questions. I will be
analyzing and reconstructing the crime by way of the locations I can
publicly access or have permission. I will do some experiments as to how
long it takes to walk from A to B, check to see how easily something
could be accomplished or how easily one can be seen carrying a child in
certain places, and where a person could stash a body or not.
I will be searching for Madeleine in locations I believe have some
merit. I am not going to discuss on this blog exactly where and how. I
will tell you that when I get back.
Do I expect to find Maddie or the big clue that will lead me to her? The
odds are not great that I will leave Portugal having accomplished that.
I hope to increase my knowledge of what exactly happened to Madeleine.
And, if I am really, really lucky, maybe I will unearth something of
I am looking forward to my two weeks in Portugal. I am very curious to
see what I will learn. I will try to blog daily on what I am doing and
finding out (that I can release) and I hope all goes well. If, when my
two weeks is up, I feel the trip was productive and I could use more
time in Portugal, I will make a second trip to Praia da Luz in the
coming months and continue my work.
Criminal Profiler Pat Brown